The Bridge
to Abundance

Everyone talks about AGI bringing post-scarcity. Nobody explains how we get there. We're mapping the path.

We've heard the promise.
We haven't seen the plan.

› 01

What infrastructure must exist before abundance can reach everyone?

  • Energy Liberation — Fusion is 3-7 years from grid power (Commonwealth, Helion). Solar + storage already cheaper than coal. AI-optimized grids could cut waste 30-40%. Compute access remains the bottleneck—whoever controls the GPUs controls the transition.
  • Distribution Networks — Autonomous logistics (trucks, drones, robots) eliminate delivery costs. AI tutors make elite education free. Diagnostic AI matches top physicians. The tech exists; the deployment is political.
  • Trust Infrastructure — Deepfakes break verification. We need cryptographic proof-of-humanity, AI-assisted fact-checking at scale, and new coordination tools for millions of people to make decisions together.
  • Care Infrastructure — The hardest problem. When work no longer provides identity, what does? We need new institutions for meaning, connection, and purpose—and we haven't started building them.
› 02

How do institutions, economies, and identities adapt—or collapse?

  • What Transforms — Universities become certification bodies, not knowledge gatekeepers. Hospitals become places for complex procedures, not diagnosis. Governments shift from service delivery to coordination and safety nets. Science accelerates 10-100x as AI runs experiments autonomously.
  • What Collapses — Degrees as job requirements (why, when AI can test actual skills?). Artificial scarcity in digital goods. 40% of current jobs classified as "bullshit" by their own workers. Geographic salary arbitrage—remote AI work pays the same everywhere.
  • Identity Reconstruction — For 10,000 years, humans have defined themselves by labor, knowledge, and consumption. All three become meaningless as differentiators. The psychological transition may be harder than the economic one. Some will thrive; some will spiral. We have no playbook.
› 03

What does the transition actually look like, year by year?

  • 2025–2026: The Capability Shock — AGI-level systems emerge. Mass white-collar automation begins. Public discourse shifts from "if" to "when." First major companies go AI-only for knowledge work. Unemployment stays low (new jobs created) but anxiety spikes.
  • 2027–2028: The Restructuring — UBI pilots in 10+ countries. Education systems crack under pressure. First autonomous scientific discoveries. Energy breakthroughs start deployment. The "AI divide" becomes the new inequality axis.
  • 2029–2030: The Sorting — Clear winners and losers emerge among nations, companies, individuals. Some regions achieve local abundance. Others fall behind. Migration pressure intensifies. New political movements form around abundance/scarcity.
  • 2031–2035: The New Normal — Post-scarcity becomes real for basic needs in leading regions. Work becomes optional for survival. The meaning crisis peaks. New social structures stabilize—or don't.
  • The Variable — None of this is inevitable. Every transition point is a choice. The path depends on who builds what, who governs how, and whether we figure out the human part before the technical part outpaces us.
Read the Manifesto